5 poststagged with “oil”
Bitcoin has lost 45% since its October high, with the Iran war accelerating the selloff. But every major armed conflict since Bitcoin's inception has produced a generational buying window — usually within 60 days of the first shots.
Q1 2026: a Fed that refused to cut, a dollar that refused to weaken, and a global liquidity expansion that refused to wait for either. The quarter in full.
Ceasefire rumors sent oil below $100 and Bitcoin above $71K in hours. But Iran denies talks, derivatives show thin conviction. Relief rally or trap?
Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz. Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum. Oil spiked above $112, Bitcoin fell to $68K. The 89% S&P correlation confirmed: BTC is a risk asset.
The Fed held at 3.50–3.75%, slashing its 2026 rate cut forecast to one. Oil above $108, PCE at 2.7% — the liquidity catalyst bulls counted on has been delayed.