Tagged: market-structure

BitcoinTwo Years Since the 2024 Halving: The Supply Shock Worked. The Cycle Calendar Didn't.

The fourth Bitcoin halving turns two on Saturday. The protocol delivered exactly what it promised: a clean cut to new issuance and a stress test for the mining industry. The four-year cycle theory built around it did not deliver what it promised. The gap between those two statements is the real legacy of 2024.

OpinionThe Four-Year Cycle Is Dead. Here's What Replaced It.

Bitcoin's four-year halving cycle has been the most reliable pattern in crypto. But the 2024 halving produced no parabolic blow-off top, no 80% crash, and no altseason. The cycle didn't repeat - and the reasons why suggest it never will again.