Tagged: fed
2 posts
MacroThe 10-Year Yield Is Telling You Something
The Fed has been signaling rate cuts for six months. The long end of the curve will not cooperate. When short rates fall and long rates rise, the bond market is telling you the central bank has lost control of the part that actually matters. That is happening now, and it is bullish for exactly one asset.
MacroQ1 2026 Macro Scorecard: The Liquidity Pivot Nobody Expected
Q1 2026: a Fed that refused to cut, a dollar that refused to weaken, and a global liquidity expansion that refused to wait for either. The quarter in full.