Tagged: correlation
4 posts
MacroGold at $3,200 and Bitcoin at $69K: Why the Divergence Matters
Gold hit an all-time high above $3,200 in Q1 2026 while Bitcoin fell 27% from $94K to $69K. Both are supposed to be 'hard money.' The divergence reveals what the market actually believes Bitcoin is - and isn't - in a crisis.
MacroGlobal M2 Is Expanding Again: What It Means for Bitcoin
Global M2 shows the highest correlation with Bitcoin's price among all macro variables tested. The money printer dictates the trajectory - and it's running again.
MacroIran Ceasefire, Crashing Oil, and a Bitcoin Rally Built on Sand
Ceasefire rumors sent oil below $100 and Bitcoin above $71K in hours. But Iran denies talks, derivatives show thin conviction. Relief rally or trap?
MacroTrump's Iran Ultimatum: $112 Oil and Bitcoin's Risk-Asset Reality
Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz. Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum. Oil spiked above $112, Bitcoin fell to $68K. The 89% S&P correlation confirmed: BTC is a risk asset.